According to The Kobeissi Letter, a recession would directly impact key economic indicators by lowering interest rates, reducing inflation, and potentially enabling tariffs to help shrink the US trade deficit, while also relieving some pressure from US debt interest expenses (source: The Kobeissi Letter, May 23, 2025). For cryptocurrency traders, such macroeconomic moves could trigger increased volatility in Bitcoin and altcoin markets, as historic rate cuts and inflation dips have often led to renewed capital flows into crypto assets. Traders should monitor US recession signals closely for potential entry and exit points in major digital asset pairs.